bellwether

/ˈbɛlˌwɛðər/
noun
  1. A person or thing that shows how a larger group is likely to behave or change; a leading indicator.
    • Sales of luxury goods can be a bellwether of consumer confidence.
    • The stock market is often a bellwether for the overall economy.
    • This small town is considered a political bellwether because its voting patterns match the national results.
  2. A sheep that leads the flock, usually with a bell around its neck.
    • When the bellwether stopped to drink, the rest of the sheep followed.
    • The bellwether led the other sheep through the gate and into the pasture.
    • The farmer put a bell on the bellwether so he could hear where the flock was moving.
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